After the US PPI and initial application data were released, the price of gold dropped further. After the US PPI and initial application data exceeded expectations, the price of gold continued to decline. Paul Ashworth, a macro analyst at Kaitou, said: "The components of PCE favored by the Federal Reserve are generally weak, and the CPI data released yesterday indicate that the monthly rate of core PCE will only increase slightly by 0.03%. Now it seems that the Fed is more likely to continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. " At the same time, the number of initial jobless claims increased by 17,000 last week, the highest level since mid-October last year, while economists expected a decrease of 4,000 to 220,000.Deutsche Bank: MARCUS CHROMIK was appointed as Chief Risk Officer.US National Security Adviser Sullivan: My goal is to reach a hostage exchange and ceasefire agreement (in Gaza) this month.
US National Security Adviser Sullivan: There are a series of risks in the situation in Syria; We fully expect that Israel's occupation of the Syrian buffer zone is temporary.US President-elect Trump: Will do some great things in the field of cryptocurrency. Electricity will be needed.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)
The director of the Federal Aviation Administration will step down on Trump's swearing-in day, and the director of the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) plans to step down on January 20, Trump's presidential swearing-in day. In a letter to employees issued by the FAA Information Office, Michael Whitaker announced his decision to leave. Whitaker has only been in office for more than a year. In October 2023, his nomination as director of FAA was unanimously approved by the Senate. Mark House, Assistant Director of Finance and Management of FAA, will serve as Acting Deputy Director.The Dow opened up 0.04%, the S&P 500 fell 0.2%, the Nasdaq fell 0.4% and Adobe fell 10.4%, and the fiscal year performance guidance fell short of expectations. General Dynamics fell 2.8% and was bearish by institutions. Uber rose by 3.5%, and its volume dropped by nearly 6% yesterday. CFO said that the mobile business will grow steadily. Jinshan Cloud rose 2.5%, and UBS sharply raised its target price to $12.5.Lou Feipeng, a researcher at the Postal Savings Bank: Strengthen the prevention and resolution of risks in the fields of real estate and small and medium-sized financial institutions. Lou Feipeng, a researcher at the Postal Savings Bank, told reporters that it is necessary to strengthen the prevention and resolution of risks in the real estate field and small and medium-sized financial institutions under the circumstances that a clear plan has been issued for the resolution of local government debt risks and targeted measures have been taken. (SSE)
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13